TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Dayton Flyers vs. George Mason Patriots
Volume:
$64,636
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Dayton Flyers and George Mason Patriots scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, totals, and first-half outcomes across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi cover different temporal scopes of the same game. Polymarket resolves on final game outcome (moneyline, spreads, totals); Kalshi resolves on first-half completion only. These are distinct settlement events, not competing versions of the same market.Hero Tip:
Recognize that Kalshi's first-half market is a standalone event that resolves before Polymarket markets. First-half outcomes provide no deterministic information about final game results. Manage these as separate trading positions with different timing and risk profiles.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Four markets covering full-game outcomes: moneyline (Dayton vs George Mason winner), two point spreads (-1.5 and -2.5 for George Mason), and totals (O/U 137.5). All resolve based on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Single binary market on first-half regulation outcome. Resolves to Yes if Dayton wins first half, George Mason wins first half, or first half ends in a tie. This is a confirmation market (not a competitive outcome market) and resolves only on first-half completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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