TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dayton Flyers vs. George Mason Patriots
polymarket
kalshi

Dayton Flyers vs. George Mason Patriots

Volume:
$64,636

Dayton

 - Kalshi

Dayton - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 19, 2026

Closed: Feb 18, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dayton

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$298
$400
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
Yes
kalshi

George Mason

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$310
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dayton Flyers vs. George Mason Patriots

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$59,894
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 137.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$861
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,723
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$559
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Dayton Flyers and George Mason Patriots scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, totals, and first-half outcomes across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi cover different temporal scopes of the same game. Polymarket resolves on final game outcome (moneyline, spreads, totals); Kalshi resolves on first-half completion only. These are distinct settlement events, not competing versions of the same market.Hero tip: Recognize that Kalshi's first-half market is a standalone event that resolves before Polymarket markets. First-half outcomes provide no deterministic information about final game results. Manage these as separate trading positions with different timing and risk profiles.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Four markets covering full-game outcomes: moneyline (Dayton vs George Mason winner), two point spreads (-1.5 and -2.5 for George Mason), and totals (O/U 137.5). All resolve based on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Single binary market on first-half regulation outcome. Resolves to Yes if Dayton wins first half, George Mason wins first half, or first half ends in a tie. This is a confirmation market (not a competitive outcome market) and resolves only on first-half completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.