TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cyprus vs. Moldova
Volume:
$764,861
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Monday, March 30, 2026 between Cyprus and Moldova.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Moldova win, Tie, Cyprus win) resolve to YES, making it impossible to determine a single settlement value. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where each outcome has a distinct resolution path.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group — they contain a fatal logical flaw where every possible match result triggers YES resolution. Polymarket's three binary markets (Draw, Cyprus Win, Moldova Win) are properly structured and resolvable. Trade only on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets resolve YES regardless of match outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Moldova wins, Market 2 resolves YES if Tie occurs, Market 3 resolves YES if Cyprus wins. This creates a logical contradiction where the group cannot produce a single determinate settlement value. Key quote: 'If Moldova wins...resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...resolves to Yes. If Cyprus wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Uses three independent binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic. Draw market resolves YES only if match ends in a tie, NO otherwise. Cyprus Win market resolves YES only if Cyprus wins, NO otherwise. Moldova Win market resolves YES only if Moldova wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one of the three will resolve YES. Key quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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