TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Zaragoza
kalshi
polymarket

Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Zaragoza

Volume:
$52,400

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$6,415
$7,947
N/A
N/A
$6,522
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cultural Leonesa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$6,947
$8,639
N/A
N/A
$7,512
Settled
No
kalshi

Zaragoza

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$12,656
$7,198
N/A
N/A
$6,909
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Zaragoza)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,099
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Real Zaragoza

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,001
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,515
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional La Liga 2 soccer match between Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa and Real Zaragoza scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Zaragoza win, a Leonesa win, or a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains an explicit cancellation clause (resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up), while Kalshi provides no cancellation logic for any of its three outcome markets. This creates asymmetric payout risk in a full-cancellation scenario.Hero tip: Monitor for any match postponement or cancellation announcements. If the game is canceled with no rescheduled date, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES, but Kalshi's markets may not settle as clearly. Confirm Kalshi's default behavior (likely NO or unresolved) with their support team before the event date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Zaragoza win (YES/NO), Leonesa win (YES/NO), and draw (YES/NO). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Draw market uniquely states: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
  • Kalshi: Three markets structured as: 'If [outcome] wins, then resolves to Yes.' All three outcomes (Zaragoza win, Tie, Leonesa win) are presented as YES resolutions with no explicit NO or cancellation logic provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.