TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Zaragoza
Volume:
$52,400
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional La Liga 2 soccer match between Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa and Real Zaragoza scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Zaragoza win, a Leonesa win, or a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains an explicit cancellation clause (resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up), while Kalshi provides no cancellation logic for any of its three outcome markets. This creates asymmetric payout risk in a full-cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any match postponement or cancellation announcements. If the game is canceled with no rescheduled date, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES, but Kalshi's markets may not settle as clearly. Confirm Kalshi's default behavior (likely NO or unresolved) with their support team before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Zaragoza win (YES/NO), Leonesa win (YES/NO), and draw (YES/NO). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Draw market uniquely states: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
- Kalshi: Three markets structured as: 'If [outcome] wins, then resolves to Yes.' All three outcomes (Zaragoza win, Tie, Leonesa win) are presented as YES resolutions with no explicit NO or cancellation logic provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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