TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador
Total volume:
$11,249
Volume 24h:
$1,280
179%
Liquidity:
$27,948
2%
Open interest:
$6,225
20%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the FIFA World Cup match between Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador scheduled for June 14, 2026. Markets across four platforms (Polymarket, Limitless, Kalshi, and Predict) offer binary outcomes on whether Côte d'Ivoire wins, Ecuador wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Draw market resolution differs on cancellation scenarios. Polymarket and Predict resolve draw to YES on full cancellation with no make-up; Limitless resolves draw to YES on non-completion by July 14, 2026 deadline. Win markets (Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador) consistently resolve to NO on cancellation across all platforms.Hero Tip:
The divergence is low-risk for win markets but material for draw positions. If the match is canceled before July 14, 2026, Polymarket and Predict draw holders win; Limitless draw holders also win if no official result is published by the deadline. Conversely, if the match is rescheduled and completed after July 14 on Limitless, the draw market may resolve NO even if the rescheduled match ends in a draw. Recommend monitoring FIFA's official schedule and Limitless's deadline closely.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Win markets (Côte d'Ivoire, Ecuador) resolve NO on cancellation. Primary resolution source is official FIFA statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Limitless: Draw market resolves YES if match is not completed with an official result by July 14, 2026, 23:00 UTC, or if it ends in a draw. Win markets resolve NO if no official result by deadline. Introduces a hard deadline that extends beyond typical match day.
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (Tie, Ecuador, Ivory Coast) resolve YES if their respective condition is met after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; assumes match will be completed or market becomes unresolvable.
- Predict: Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Primary resolution source is official FIFA statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion. Identical logic to Polymarket.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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