TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CSyD Macará vs. América de Cali
Volume:
$192,771
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match between CSyD Macará and América de Cali scheduled for April 9, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi predict the outcome (win/draw/loss) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi have inconsistent cancellation logic for the draw outcome, and Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation and source documentation. The three-market structure creates a logical dependency issue where cancellation handling differs by outcome type.Hero Tip:
Before settlement, confirm with both platforms: (1) What happens if the game is canceled - does Polymarket's draw market truly resolve YES while win markets resolve NO? (2) What is Kalshi's official resolution source and cancellation protocol? (3) Ensure all three markets across both platforms cannot simultaneously resolve YES, which would violate mutual exclusivity of match outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation rules. Macará win and Cali win markets resolve NO if game is canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled with no makeup. Primary source: CONMEBOL official statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) vs 'this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market).
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets (Macará wins / Cali wins / Tie wins), each resolving YES only if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause or primary resolution source documented in provided text. Quote: 'If Macara wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If America Cali wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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