TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CSUN Matadors vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
Volume:
$2,196,780
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Cal State Northridge (CSUN) Matadors and UC Santa Barbara Gauchos scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads, and total points over/under at various thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (CSUN win and UCSB win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi moneyline entirely. Trade only Polymarket markets, which have coherent resolution logic. For moneyline exposure, use Polymarket. For spreads and totals, both platforms appear consistent in threshold application, but verify final scores against official NCAA sources.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market: Both "UC Santa Barbara wins" and "Cal State Northridge wins" resolve to Yes. This is a data integrity failure - the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Quote: 'If UC Santa Barbara wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cal State Northridge wins...resolves to Yes'.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market: Mutually exclusive outcomes - resolves to 'CSUN Matadors' if CSUN wins, or 'UC Santa Barbara Gauchos' if UCSB wins. Spreads and totals use standard sportsbook thresholds (e.g., -3.5 means UCSB must win by 4+, O/U 158.5 means 159+ combined points). All markets include 50-50 cancellation clause and overtime inclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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