TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CSUN Matadors vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
kalshi
polymarket

CSUN Matadors vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Volume:
$2,196,780

Cal State Northridge

 - Kalshi

Cal State Northridge - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Closed: Feb 20, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cal State Northridge

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,008,770
N/A
N/A
$457,287
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UC Santa Barbara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,136,934
N/A
N/A
$575,957
Settled
No
polymarket

CSUN Matadors vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,983
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 158.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$301
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 156.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$207
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 157.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$173
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 155.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$156
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,721
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$426
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 10

Description

A college basketball game between Cal State Northridge (CSUN) Matadors and UC Santa Barbara Gauchos scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads, and total points over/under at various thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (CSUN win and UCSB win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Hero tip: Disregard Kalshi moneyline entirely. Trade only Polymarket markets, which have coherent resolution logic. For moneyline exposure, use Polymarket. For spreads and totals, both platforms appear consistent in threshold application, but verify final scores against official NCAA sources.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market: Both "UC Santa Barbara wins" and "Cal State Northridge wins" resolve to Yes. This is a data integrity failure - the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Quote: 'If UC Santa Barbara wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cal State Northridge wins...resolves to Yes'.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market: Mutually exclusive outcomes - resolves to 'CSUN Matadors' if CSUN wins, or 'UC Santa Barbara Gauchos' if UCSB wins. Spreads and totals use standard sportsbook thresholds (e.g., -3.5 means UCSB must win by 4+, O/U 158.5 means 159+ combined points). All markets include 50-50 cancellation clause and overtime inclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.