This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Cal State Northridge (CSUN Matadors) and UC Irvine (Anteaters) scheduled for February 26, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this single game, with different resolution structures.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (CSUN win and UC Irvine win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no valid path to a No resolution and making the market fundamentally unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. Do not trade this market. The resolution logic is broken and cannot produce a meaningful outcome. Polymarket's binary structure is the only valid market for this event.
Kalshi: Broken logic: states both CSUN win AND UC Irvine win resolve to Yes. No condition maps to No resolution. This creates an impossible market state where the outcome cannot be determined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.