TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CSUN Matadors vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans (W)
Volume:
$109,522
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between CSUN Matadors and Cal State Fullerton Titans scheduled for March 11, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the outcome of this single game, with different resolution mechanics and edge-case handling.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent ternary outcome structure with explicit edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. The rule set guarantees Yes resolution regardless of which team wins, eliminating all price discovery. Polymarket's market is tradeable and includes proper cancellation protocol (50-50 split if no makeup game).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with contradictory mapping. Both Cal State Fullerton win and Cal State Northridge win conditions resolve to Yes, leaving no path to No resolution. This violates basic logical consistency and renders the market unable to differentiate outcomes.
- Polymarket: Ternary outcome structure: CSUN Matadors → CSUN Matadors; Cal State Fullerton Titans → Cal State Fullerton Titans; Postponement → market remains open; Cancellation with no makeup → 50-50 split. Outcomes are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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