TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Huachipato
Volume:
$54,489
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Chilean Liga de Primera soccer match between CSD Colo-Colo and CD Huachipato scheduled for March 16, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the final outcome (win, loss, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's cancellation logic is asymmetric across market types, creating settlement risk.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market—it is logically incoherent. For Polymarket, understand that cancellation without makeup favors draw bettors (Yes) but penalizes win bettors (No). Confirm official ANFP status 2 hours post-match or use credible reporting consensus.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure declares all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, Colo-Colo win, Huachipato win) resolve to Yes. This creates logical impossibility—only one outcome can occur, but all three are marked Yes. No cancellation clause or fallback logic provided.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with differentiated logic: Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation without makeup; Colo-Colo win resolves No on cancellation; Huachipato win resolves No on cancellation. Asymmetric treatment creates settlement disparity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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