TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CS Huancayo vs. CD Garcilaso
Volume:
$24,534
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026 between CS Huancayo and CD Garcilaso.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three possible match outcomes (Huancayo win, Draw, Garcilaso win) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and contradicting the binary structure of prediction markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—every possible outcome triggers YES, which violates the core principle of binary prediction markets. Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive markets with coherent resolution logic; trade there instead.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each mutually exclusive: (1) Huancayo win resolves YES only if Huancayo wins, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; (3) Garcilaso win resolves YES only if Garcilaso wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Resolution source: official Liga 1.pe statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Cancellation with no makeup resolves the win markets to NO and the draw market to YES.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all triggering YES: 'If Huancayo wins...resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...resolves to Yes. If Garcilaso wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—the market will always resolve YES regardless of the actual match outcome, rendering it non-functional as a prediction instrument.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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