TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC
kalshi
polymarket

Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC

Volume:
$2,074,879

Draw (Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC)

 - Polymarket

Draw (Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$277,499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Leeds United FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$917,861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Crystal Palace FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$879,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leeds United wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Crystal Palace wins by over 2.5 goals

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Crystal Palace wins by over 1.5 goals

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leeds United wins by over 2.5 goals

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a professional English Premier League match between Crystal Palace FC (home) and Leeds United FC (away) scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets span multiple prediction platforms with varying outcome specifications: Kalshi focuses on margin-of-victory thresholds, while Polymarket offers binary win/draw/loss outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses goal-margin settlement thresholds (1.5 and 2.5 goals) while Polymarket uses simple binary match outcomes (win/draw/loss). These represent different market architectures and cannot be unified into a single resolution logic.Hero tip: Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi markets will move together. A Leeds win by 1 goal resolves YES on Polymarket but NO on all Kalshi Leeds markets. Track margin thresholds separately from outcome markets. Note cancellation asymmetry: Polymarket draw resolves YES if canceled; win markets resolve NO. Kalshi has no stated cancellation protocol.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four margin-based markets. Resolves YES only if specified team wins by specified goal threshold (1.5 or 2.5 goals). Example: Crystal Palace >1.5 goal win resolves YES only if final score shows Palace winning by 2+ goals. No cancellation clause provided.
  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets: draw (YES if 0-0 or any tied result), Leeds win (YES if Leeds score more goals), Crystal Palace win (YES if Palace score more goals). If canceled with no makeup, draw market resolves YES; win markets resolve NO. Primary source is Premier League official statistics within 2 hours of conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.