TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina
Volume:
$1,993,524
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Crystal Palace FC and ACF Fiorentina will compete in a UEFA Conference League match on April 9, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This audit synthesizes three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi that collectively cover all possible match outcomes: Crystal Palace win, Fiorentina win, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Fiorentina win, Crystal Palace win, draw), where exactly one resolves YES. Kalshi defines three independent YES/NO markets that all resolve YES simultaneously regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction where all three Kalshi markets resolve YES for any match result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade these markets across platforms as equivalent. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three outcomes resolves YES. On Kalshi, all three markets resolve YES no matter what happens (win, loss, or draw), making Kalshi's markets logically incoherent and unsuitable for directional betting. Clarify Kalshi's intent with the platform before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets where the match outcome determines which single market resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. Crystal Palace win resolves YES only if Crystal Palace wins; Fiorentina win resolves YES only if Fiorentina wins; draw resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw. 'If ACF Fiorentina wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi defines three independent markets that all resolve YES for any match outcome—Crystal Palace win resolves YES if Crystal Palace wins OR if Fiorentina wins OR if there is a tie; Fiorentina win resolves YES if Crystal Palace wins OR if Fiorentina wins OR if there is a tie; tie resolves YES if Crystal Palace wins OR if Fiorentina wins OR if there is a tie. 'If Crystal Palace wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Fiorentina wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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