This event group covers a Brazilian Série A soccer match between Cruzeiro EC and CR Vasco da Gama scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket specifies outcome-dependent cancellation resolution (draw resolves Yes, wins resolve No), while Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios.
Hero Tip:
Monitor CBF official sources for any postponement or cancellation. If the game is canceled with no makeup, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve Yes while win markets resolve No. Kalshi's cancellation protocol requires clarification before the event date.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate markets: Vasco Win (Yes if Vasco wins, No if canceled/no makeup), Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled/no makeup), Cruzeiro Win (Yes if Cruzeiro wins, No if canceled/no makeup). Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw) or 'No' (win markets).
Kalshi: Three binary markets covering all outcomes (Tie, Vasco Win, Cruzeiro Win), each resolving to Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for other outcomes).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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