TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers (W)
Volume:
$526,377
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Creighton Bluejays and Xavier Musketeers scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this single game, with resolution dependent on which team wins the matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Creighton win and Xavier win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi contract until the platform issues a correction. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket's market is the only reliably resolvable contract in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market: resolves to 'Creighton Bluejays' if Creighton wins, or 'Xavier Musketeers' if Xavier wins. Resolution based on final score including overtime. Postponements keep market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50.
- Kalshi: Yes/No market with critical logical flaw: states 'If Creighton wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Xavier wins...resolves to Yes'. Both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution value, making the market logically unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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