TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CR Vasco da Gama vs. Grêmio FBPA
polymarket
kalshi

CR Vasco da Gama vs. Grêmio FBPA

Volume:
$363,424

CR Vasco da Gama

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 23, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

CR Vasco da Gama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$225,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vasco da Gama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,058
N/A
N/A
$7,093
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gremio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,616
N/A
N/A
$79,118
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,078
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,643
N/A
N/A
$3,602
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CR Vasco da Gama vs. Grêmio FBPA)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between CR Vasco da Gama and Grêmio FBPA.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Vasco win, Draw, Grêmio win) that collectively partition all possible outcomes, while Kalshi defines three separate YES/NO markets that each independently resolve YES for any of the three outcomes, creating a logical contradiction where all three Kalshi markets would simultaneously resolve YES.Hero tip: Do not trade across both platforms assuming equivalent exposure. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets resolves YES. On Kalshi, all three markets resolve YES simultaneously for any match result. If you are long all three Kalshi markets, you will profit on all three; if you are short all three, you will lose on all three. This is the opposite of Polymarket's structure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match outcome. 'If CR Vasco da Gama wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' The Draw market similarly resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, and the Grêmio market resolves YES only if Grêmio wins. Exactly one of the three will resolve YES.
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi structures the event as three independent YES/NO markets, each of which resolves YES for a different outcome: 'If Gremio wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasco da Gama wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' All three markets resolve YES simultaneously regardless of the match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.