Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 3, 2026, using the same primary source (EFL official statistics or credible reporting consensus) and treating postponement and cancellation identically.
Primary resolution logic:
Official EFL (English Football League) statistics as recognized by the governing body; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.
Core resolution logic:
Polymarket Derby County market resolves YES if and only if Derby County FC wins in regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time).
Polymarket Coventry City market resolves YES if and only if Coventry City FC wins in regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time).
Polymarket Draw market resolves YES if and only if the match ends in a draw after regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time).
Kalshi markets resolve YES if Tie, Coventry, or Derby wins respectively after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Exactly one outcome (Derby win, Coventry win, or draw) will occur, and all markets across both platforms resolve consistently to that single outcome.
Extra time and penalties are excluded from all resolution logic.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed. Both platforms apply identical postponement logic.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket's Derby and Coventry markets resolve NO, while the Draw market resolves YES. Kalshi's logic is not explicitly stated for this scenario, but the unified source and timing rules suggest alignment with Polymarket's cancellation treatment.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official EFL publication of final match statistics within 2 hours after the match conclusion on April 3, 2026, or upon credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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