TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
Volume:
$2,905,127
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
TheMongolz and PARIVISION compete in a best-of-three (BO3) Counter-Strike match during the PGL Bucharest Playoffs. The winner is determined by the first team to win two maps. This is a direct head-to-head esports competition with a single, definitive outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket differ in scope and resolution triggers. Kalshi's single market resolves based on whether over 2.5 maps are played in the match, while Polymarket offers granular markets on individual map outcomes, map statistics, series winner, and map handicaps. The platforms use the same primary source (HLTV.org) but Kalshi's binary threshold (>2.5 maps) does not directly align with Polymarket's multi-outcome map-level markets.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting solely on series length (3+ maps = YES). On Polymarket, you can isolate individual map winners, kill/round counts, and handicaps. These are complementary rather than contradictory, but a series that goes to Map 3 will trigger Kalshi's YES while Polymarket's Map 3 markets activate only if Map 3 is actually played. Ensure you understand which platform's outcome you are hedging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market on series length only. The market resolves YES if over 2.5 maps are played (i.e., 3 or more maps), and NO if 2 or fewer maps are played. Resolution is based on 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the PGL Bucharest 2026: PARIVISION vs. The Mongolz CS2 match originally scheduled for Apr 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers nine granular markets covering series winner, individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2), map statistics (odd/even kills and rounds for Maps 1, 2, 3), and map handicaps. Each market has independent resolution conditions tied to specific map outcomes or series results. For example, 'Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills' resolves based on combined kills in Map 1 only, with a 50-50 fallback if Map 1 is not played or canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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