TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs
Volume:
$4,927
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Team Aether and Reign Above in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs, scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, map statistics (kills and rounds), series length, and handicap betting, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market scope references tournament-level outcome (ESL Challenger League Cup #2 winner) while Polymarket and the primary match market reference only the BO3 series result. Additionally, Kalshi's resolution logic appears contradictory: both outcomes (Team Aether wins OR Reign Above wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible for a binary market.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi market until scope is clarified. If Kalshi intends to track only the BO3 match outcome, it should resolve identically to Polymarket. If it tracks tournament victory, it requires different settlement logic and cannot resolve until the entire tournament concludes. The current wording is unresolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: References tournament-level outcome: 'If Team Aether wins the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Reign Above wins the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where both outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market binary-incompatible.
- Polymarket & Primary Match Market: Resolves on BO3 match outcome only: 'This market will resolve to Team Aether if Team Aether win the match against Reign Above' and 'This market will resolve to Reign Above if Reign Above win the match against Team Aether.' Clear binary logic with no tournament-level dependency.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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