TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage
Volume:
$78,239
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three (BO3) match between STATE and CSDIILIT in the CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage, originally scheduled for March 23, 2026. Markets are tracking outcomes related to map 1 performance in this competitive esports fixture. The match result will be determined by official CCT Europe Series records and broadcast confirmation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes and logic. Kalshi's markets resolve based on whether Map 1 is played at all (either team winning counts as YES), while Polymarket's markets require specific match outcomes (odd/even kills/rounds) or depend on maps being completed and played within the scheduled window. The platforms also diverge on what constitutes a completed match and how forfeits/walkovers are handled.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi's Map 1 market, you win if either team wins Map 1 — a very broad resolution. On Polymarket, the odd/even markets require actual match data and resolve 50-50 if Map 1 is not played or delayed beyond 7 days. Polymarket's match winner and handicap markets also have stricter completion requirements. Verify which platform you are on before settling positions, as the same match outcome may resolve differently.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's Map 1 market (items 1–2) resolves YES if either CSDIILIT or STATE wins Map 1, with no mention of odd/even conditions, kill counts, or round totals. The resolution is binary and outcome-agnostic: 'If CSDIILIT wins map 1... then the market resolves to Yes. If STATE wins map 1... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a simple match-completion check, not a statistical property check.
- Polymarket: Aligned with each other across multiple markets but distinct from Kalshi: Polymarket's markets (items 3–25) require specific statistical outcomes (odd/even kills, odd/even rounds, map winners, handicaps, series totals). Each market has detailed edge-case handling: 'If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.' Polymarket also distinguishes between match completion, forfeits, and clinched series, with 50-50 resolution for incomplete or unplayed maps. The match winner market (item 6) and handicap markets (items 14, 24) explicitly resolve 50-50 if the match is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.