TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs AM Gaming (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
Volume:
$17,150
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between Phantom and AM Gaming in the Parken Challenger Championship Group A, scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 kill parity, and Map 1 round parity across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three independent, granular markets with explicit edge-case rules and HLTV.org sourcing. Kalshi defines two markets that appear to collapse match outcome into a single Yes/No determination without specifying how forfeits, ties, delays, or incomplete series are handled, and without naming a resolution source.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket and Kalshi as separate resolution regimes. Polymarket markets are self-contained and will resolve based on HLTV.org data with clear 50-50 fallbacks. Kalshi markets lack sufficient detail to predict resolution in edge cases (e.g., if the match is forfeited, delayed >7 days, or if the series ends before Map 1 is played). Request clarification from Kalshi on source, forfeiture handling, and whether Map 1 must be played.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent markets: (1) Match Winner resolves to Phantom or AM Gaming if either wins; 50-50 on cancellation, tie, delay >7 days, or walkover. (2) Map 1 Kills Parity resolves Odd/Even based on combined kills; 50-50 if Map 1 not played or series decided. (3) Map 1 Rounds Parity resolves Odd/Even based on combined rounds; 50-50 if Map 1 not played or series decided. Source: HLTV.org with 2-hour credible consensus fallback. Key quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Two markets, both resolving to Yes if either AM Gaming or Phantom wins the match. No explicit edge-case rules for forfeits, ties, delays, or series non-completion. No resolution source specified. Markets appear to conflate match outcome with championship determination. Key quote: 'If AM Gaming wins the Parken Challenger Championship 2026: AM Gaming vs. Phantom CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes.' (Identical logic for Phantom.)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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