TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group B
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Passion UA and BASEMENT BOYS in the BC Game Masters Championship Group B, initially scheduled for March 24 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Passion UA" if Passion UA win the match against BASEMENT BOYS. This market will resolve to "BASEMENT BOYS" if BASEMENT BOYS win the match against Passion UA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three distinct markets (match winner, Map 1 kills parity, Map 1 rounds parity) with detailed resolution rules and fallback sources, while Kalshi presents a single ambiguous market that conflates two mutually exclusive outcomes ('If BASEMENT BOYS wins... then Yes' AND 'If Passion UA wins... then Yes') into a single resolution condition, making it logically impossible to resolve to No.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market without clarification from the exchange. The market rules state that Yes resolves if either team wins, which means No can never occur—this is a critical data integrity failure. Polymarket's three markets are independently resolvable and use consistent HLTV-based logic; Kalshi's single market is fundamentally unresolvable as written.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three independent markets (match winner, Map 1 odd/even kills, Map 1 odd/even rounds), each with clear binary outcomes, consistent HLTV primary source, and detailed fallback rules for cancellations, forfeits, and delays. For example, the match winner market resolves to the winning team or 50-50 if canceled/delayed beyond 7 days, with explicit handling of forfeits and walkovers: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents a single market with contradictory resolution logic that resolves to Yes if either BASEMENT BOYS wins OR Passion UA wins, leaving no valid condition for No resolution. The market states 'If BASEMENT BOYS wins the BC Game Masters Championship 2026: BASEMENT BOYS vs. Passion UA CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Passion UA wins the BC Game Masters Championship 2026: BASEMENT BOYS vs. Passion UA CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes,' which covers all possible match outcomes and creates a logical impossibility.
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