TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between PARIVISION and Spirit in the BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B, initially scheduled for March 21 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on market scope and resolution conditions. Kalshi offers a single binary market on whether over 2.5 maps are played, while Polymarket provides 10 distinct markets covering match winner, map winners, handicaps, and granular statistics (rounds/kills per map). Additionally, Polymarket's handicap market (TS/-1.5 vs PARIVISION/+1.5) uses different team abbreviations and thresholds than Polymarket's second handicap market (PRV/-1.5 vs Spirit/+1.5), creating internal inconsistency within Polymarket's own offerings.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting only on total maps played (binary: 3+ maps = Yes, <3 maps = No). If you trade on Polymarket, you have granular exposure to match outcome, individual map winners, and statistical properties (rounds/kills). These are fundamentally different market structures. Additionally, note that Polymarket lists two different handicap markets with conflicting team abbreviations (TS vs PRV for PARIVISION) — verify which handicap market you intend to trade before committing capital, as they may resolve differently depending on the actual match result.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers a single binary market on total maps played in the series. The market resolves YES if 3 or more maps are played, NO if fewer than 3 maps are played. Resolution is based on official HLTV data. Key quote: 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026: Spirit vs. PARIVISION CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 10 separate markets covering match winner, individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2), map-level statistics (odd/even total rounds and kills for Maps 1, 2, 3), series total maps (O/U 2.5), and two handicap markets with conflicting team abbreviations (TS/-1.5 vs PARIVISION/+1.5 and PRV/-1.5 vs Spirit/+1.5). All resolve via HLTV with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if PARIVISION and Spirit play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to Under.'
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