TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between PARIVISION and NIP in the BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B, scheduled for March 19 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against NIP. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the core settlement metric. Kalshi resolves based on whether over 2.5 maps are played (a series-level metric), while Polymarket's primary market resolves on match winner (PARIVISION vs NIP), with subsidiary markets covering individual map outcomes and aggregate statistics. The platforms use the same source (HLTV.org) but measure fundamentally different settlement values.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on series length (3+ maps = Yes). If you trade on Polymarket's main market, you are betting on match winner. These outcomes are correlated but distinct: a 2-0 sweep resolves Kalshi to No but Polymarket to a winner. Ensure your position matches your intended exposure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's single market resolves on series length only. The market resolves Yes if over 2.5 maps are played (i.e., 3 or more maps), and No otherwise. This is a binary outcome on match duration, not match winner. Quote: 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026: NIP vs. PARIVISION CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers multiple markets with different settlement values. The primary market resolves to match winner (PARIVISION or NIP), with 50-50 resolution for cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, or pre-match forfeit. Subsidiary markets resolve on individual map winners, map-level statistics (kills, rounds, odd/even), and series handicaps. Quote: 'This market will resolve to PARIVISION if PARIVISION win the match against NIP. This market will resolve to NIP if NIP win the match against PARIVISION.'
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