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$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Volume:
$49,421

Ursa

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 30, 2026

Closed: Mar 30, 11:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ursa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,553
N/A
N/A
$3,091
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Omega

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,202
N/A
N/A
$6,664
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Omega and Ursa in the CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage, initially scheduled for March 30 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Omega" if Omega win the match against Ursa. This market will resolve to "Ursa" if Ursa win the match against Omega. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on the series outcome (who wins the BO3 match), while Polymarket resolves on granular map-level metrics (individual map winners, round counts, kill counts, and handicaps). These are logically incompatible: Kalshi's markets will resolve to YES for either team winning, making them non-informative, while Polymarket's markets depend on match completion and specific in-game statistics.Hero tip: Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket positions in this group. Kalshi's binary YES outcomes (either Omega or Ursa wins) do not correlate with Polymarket's map-specific outcomes. If the match is canceled, delayed >7 days, or ends in forfeit, Kalshi resolves YES (for the winner) while Polymarket resolves 50-50 (for all map markets). Treat these as separate, non-overlapping event spaces.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves to YES if either Omega or Ursa wins the BO3 match scheduled for Mar 30, 2026. The market structure is binary and does not differentiate between the two teams — both outcomes trigger YES. This creates a logical flaw: the market is guaranteed to resolve YES if the match completes, regardless of winner. Quote: 'If Ursa wins the CCT Europe Series #20 2026: Ursa vs. Omega CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Omega wins the CCT Europe Series #20 2026: Ursa vs. Omega CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with itself (no other platform shares this logic): Polymarket resolves on 11 distinct map-level and series-level markets, each with specific thresholds: Map 1/2/3 winners, Map 1/2/3 round parity (odd/even), Map 1/2/3 kill parity (odd/even), series total maps (over/under 2.5), and map handicaps. All markets depend on match completion and official HLTV data. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Odd if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number. This market will resolve to Even if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.' Cancellation, delay >7 days, or forfeit triggers 50-50 for all Polymarket markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.