TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between NIP and Liquid in the BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B, initially scheduled for March 21 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Liquid. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against NIP. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket differ in scope and resolution triggers. Kalshi's single market resolves based on whether over 2.5 maps are played in the series, while Polymarket offers 11 granular markets covering individual map outcomes, kills, rounds, and series handicaps. The platforms use the same primary source (HLTV.org) but diverge on what constitutes a resolvable event and how forfeit/walkover scenarios are handled.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting purely on series length (3+ maps = Over). On Polymarket, individual map markets may resolve 50-50 if the series ends early (e.g., 2-0), while Kalshi's market still resolves based on total maps played. Ensure you understand which platform's scope matches your prediction: series-level (Kalshi) vs. map-level detail (Polymarket).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers a single series-level market ('If over 2.5 maps are played...then the market resolves to Yes') that treats the entire BO3 as one binary outcome. No map-specific or handicap markets are present. Forfeit/walkover scenarios are not explicitly addressed in the provided rules.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket provides 11 separate markets covering series winner, map winners (Maps 1–3), map-level kills/rounds (odd/even), and map handicaps. Each market has explicit 50-50 resolution rules for forfeits, walkovers, and early series conclusions (e.g., 'If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined...this market will resolve to 50-50'). All markets cite HLTV.org as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
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