TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Nexus (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group A
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MOUZ NXT and Nexus in the BC Game Masters Championship Group A, initially scheduled for March 24 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ NXT" if MOUZ NXT win the match against Nexus. This market will resolve to "Nexus" if Nexus win the match against MOUZ NXT. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three distinct markets with specific resolution criteria tied to Map 1 performance (rounds, kills) and match outcome, while Kalshi collapses the entire event into a single binary question about championship series victory. Kalshi's market is fundamentally unresolvable as written because it does not specify which team's victory triggers YES resolution—both outcomes are listed as YES conditions.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market without clarification from the platform. Polymarket's three markets are independently resolvable and internally consistent; Kalshi's single market contains a logical contradiction that makes it impossible to determine a NO outcome. If you hold Kalshi, request an amendment or treat the market as suspended pending clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate markets with granular resolution criteria. Market 1 resolves on match winner (MOUZ NXT or Nexus) with 50-50 fallback for cancellation, forfeit, or delay beyond 7 days. Market 2 resolves on Map 1 odd/even total rounds (sum of both teams' rounds won), with 50-50 for non-play or cancellation. Market 3 resolves on Map 1 odd/even total kills (combined kills excluding team kills and self-inflicted deaths), with 50-50 for non-play or cancellation. All three use HLTV.org as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Each market has explicit remade-game and series-clinch provisions.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents a single binary market asking whether Nexus or MOUZ NXT wins the BC Game Masters Championship 2026 match scheduled for Mar 24, 2026. However, the resolution rule states 'If Nexus wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If MOUZ NXT wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility: both possible outcomes (Nexus victory and MOUZ NXT victory) are mapped to YES, leaving no condition for NO resolution. The market lacks a defined NO outcome and is therefore unresolvable as currently written.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.