TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Clutchain (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
Volume:
$63,374
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
MOUZ NXT and Clutchain compete in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match during the Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage, originally scheduled for April 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The match winner is determined by standard CS2 gameplay rules, with resolution sourced from HLTV.org as the authoritative record. Associated markets track Map 1 kill and round parity outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the core resolution outcome. Kalshi resolves to Yes for either team winning, making the market non-binary and logically incoherent. Polymarket correctly resolves to the winning team name (MOUZ NXT or Clutchain), with 50-50 fallback for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or forfeits before match start.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's version of this market—it is logically broken and will resolve to Yes regardless of which team wins, making it unsuitable for directional trading. Polymarket's market is the only usable version, with clear binary outcomes (MOUZ NXT vs Clutchain) and well-defined edge cases.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's resolution rules state 'If Clutchain wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If MOUZ NXT wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes resolve to the same result. This makes the market non-binary and unresolvable as a prediction instrument.
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket resolves to 'MOUZ NXT' if MOUZ NXT wins and 'Clutchain' if Clutchain wins, creating a true binary outcome. Polymarket also specifies 50-50 resolution for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days without a winner, or forfeits/disqualifications before match start, with clear source preference: 'The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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