TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between MIBR Academy and paiN Academy in the CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage, initially scheduled for March 18 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR Academy" if MIBR Academy win the match against paiN Academy. This market will resolve to "paiN Academy" if paiN Academy win the match against MIBR Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on whether either team wins the match (always YES regardless of outcome), while Polymarket resolves on specific map statistics (odd/even rounds and kills). These are logically incompatible market types with no shared resolution basis.Hero Tip:
Do not treat these as equivalent markets. Kalshi's markets will always resolve YES if the match completes; Polymarket's markets depend on specific statistical outcomes that may never occur if maps are not played. Betting YES on Kalshi is a bet on match completion, not team performance. Betting on Polymarket requires the match to be played AND the specific map to be completed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's two markets both resolve to YES if either MIBR Academy or paiN Academy wins the match. The resolution logic is 'If MIBR Academy wins... then YES' AND 'If paiN Academy wins... then YES', meaning the market always resolves YES regardless of which team wins, provided the match completes. This is a binary completion bet, not a competitive outcome bet. Key quote: 'If MIBR Academy wins the CCT South America Series #10 2026: paiN Academy vs. MIBR Academy CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If paiN Academy wins the CCT South America Series #10 2026: paiN Academy vs. MIBR Academy CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on specific map-level statistics (odd/even total rounds for Maps 1, 2, 3; odd/even total kills for Maps 2 and 3; and Map 1 odd/even total kills). Each market depends on a specific map being played and completed. If a map is not played, canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, forfeited, or not needed (series already decided), the market resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
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