TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs
Volume:
$29,573
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-three match between LAG Gaming and Wanted Goons in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs, scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, map-level statistics (kills and rounds), and series-level handicap and total maps played.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi defines winner resolution at the tournament level (either team wins the ESL Cup), while Polymarket defines match-level winner resolution with explicit 50-50 treatment for pre-match forfeits and walkover scenarios. This creates a logical gap when a team is disqualified or withdraws before the match begins.Hero Tip:
For Polymarket markets (match winner, map winners, handicap, totals), assume 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled or forfeited before play begins. For Kalshi, focus on whether the team advances in the tournament, which may occur even if the specific match is forfeited. Always verify the match status on HLTV.org within 2 hours of the scheduled end time.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Kalshi markets resolve to Yes if LAG Gaming or Wanted Goons wins the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 2026. No explicit handling of forfeit/walkover scenarios is provided; the focus is on tournament-level outcome, not match-level mechanics.
- Polymarket: Polymarket match winner, map winner, handicap, and totals markets all resolve to 50-50 if the match is canceled, forfeited before play, or ends in a walkover. However, if the match begins and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture mid-match, the winning team is credited. Maps won by forfeit after the match has started count toward totals and handicap. Key quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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