TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$234,875,025

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,205,330,693

501,301

Markets across

13,585

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,825

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Counter-Strike: Just Players vs TNC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

Volume:
$14,164
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike match between Just Players and TNC in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs (Upper bracket quarterfinal 4), scheduled for April 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, map-level statistics (rounds and kills), and series handicap.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi presents a logically ambiguous dual-YES structure for match outcome, while Polymarket uses standard binary team-name resolution. Additionally, Polymarket's map-level markets have conditional 50-50 fallbacks based on series progression, which Kalshi does not address for its match-level market.

Hero Tip:

For Kalshi: interpret the market as resolving YES only if the match completes with a winner (not a tie, cancel, or 7+ day delay). For Polymarket: confirm the series map count before resolving any map-specific market; if a team clinches before a map is played, that map's Odd/Even market resolves 50-50. Cross-check HLTV within 2 hours of match conclusion for official results.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Match outcome defined as dual YES conditions: 'If TNC wins... then YES' AND 'If JustPlayers wins... then YES'. This creates logical ambiguity (both cannot be true simultaneously in a single match). No explicit handling of cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days. Implies YES resolves only if match completes with a winner, but structure is unclear.
  • Polymarket: Match outcome resolves to team name (Just Players or TNC). Explicit 50-50 fallback if match is canceled, ends in tie, delayed 7+ days without winner, or begins but incomplete with forfeit/disqualification. Map-level markets (Odd/Even Rounds, Odd/Even Kills) also resolve 50-50 if map is not played because series is already clinched (e.g., 2-0 sweep before Map 3).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.