Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Critical divergence points:

• Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single series-level market ('Over 2.5 maps') that resolves YES if 3 or more maps are played, counting maps won by forfeit/disqualification/walkover toward the total. It resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, or begins but is not completed with one team winning by opponent forfeiture. Key rule: 'Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.'
• Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 11 granular markets covering series outcome, individual map winners (Maps 1–2), map-level statistics (rounds and kills for Maps 1–3), and map handicaps. Each map-level market resolves 50-50 if that specific map is not played, canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or forfeited. The series-level 'Games Total: O/U 2.5' market mirrors Kalshi's logic but adds: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.' Key difference: Polymarket's series market resolves 50-50 for incomplete matches with forfeit outcomes, whereas Kalshi counts them as completed if the clinching map is forfeited.