TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
Volume:
$3,457,377
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A Counter-Strike Best-of-3 playoff match between FURIA and TheMongolz at PGL Cluj-Napoca scheduled for February 20, 2026. Markets track the overall match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), total maps played, and map handicaps across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible tournament outcomes (FURIA wins OR TheMongolz wins) resolve to Yes, rendering the market non-binary and unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent but operate at different scopes (match vs. individual maps), creating potential orphaned outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets as written — escalate to platform for clarification on whether they intend to track tournament winner or match winner. For Polymarket, understand that Map 1 and Map 2 markets will resolve independently based on those specific maps, regardless of series outcome. Always cross-reference HLTV.org within 2 hours of match conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both conditional statements resolve to Yes: 'If The Mongolz wins the PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026... Yes' AND 'If FURIA wins the PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026... Yes'. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as a binary outcome. The market appears to conflate tournament winner with match winner without clarity on which is the actual resolution criterion.
- Polymarket: Five distinct markets with consistent internal logic but different scopes: Match Winner (BO3 series outcome requiring 2 map wins), Map 1 Winner (single map), Map 2 Winner (single map), Games Total O/U 2.5 (series length), and two Map Handicap variants. All reference HLTV.org as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Individual map markets resolve independently of series completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.