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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

Volume:
$3,457,377

The Mongolz

 - Kalshi

The Mongolz - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Closed: Feb 20, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

The Mongolz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$278,648
N/A
N/A
$152,667
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FURIA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$273,745
N/A
N/A
$185,125
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$434,004
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$385,101
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Match Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,870,845
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164,496
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,309
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$228
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 8

Description

A Counter-Strike Best-of-3 playoff match between FURIA and TheMongolz at PGL Cluj-Napoca scheduled for February 20, 2026. Markets track the overall match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), total maps played, and map handicaps across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible tournament outcomes (FURIA wins OR TheMongolz wins) resolve to Yes, rendering the market non-binary and unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent but operate at different scopes (match vs. individual maps), creating potential orphaned outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets as written — escalate to platform for clarification on whether they intend to track tournament winner or match winner. For Polymarket, understand that Map 1 and Map 2 markets will resolve independently based on those specific maps, regardless of series outcome. Always cross-reference HLTV.org within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both conditional statements resolve to Yes: 'If The Mongolz wins the PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026... Yes' AND 'If FURIA wins the PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026... Yes'. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as a binary outcome. The market appears to conflate tournament winner with match winner without clarity on which is the actual resolution criterion.
  • Polymarket: Five distinct markets with consistent internal logic but different scopes: Match Winner (BO3 series outcome requiring 2 map wins), Map 1 Winner (single map), Map 2 Winner (single map), Games Total O/U 2.5 (series length), and two Map Handicap variants. All reference HLTV.org as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Individual map markets resolve independently of series completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.