TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
Volume:
$681,764
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
FURIA vs Passion UA is a best-of-three Counter-Strike match in the IEM Rio 2026 Group B upper bracket quarterfinal, originally scheduled for April 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET (4:30 PM EDT per Kalshi). The event group encompasses markets tracking the overall match winner, individual map winners, map-level statistics (rounds and kills), and series length.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different resolution scopes and thresholds. Kalshi's market resolves on whether over 2.5 maps are played in the match, while Polymarket's markets resolve on specific map winners, match outcome, and series statistics. The platforms also differ on how they handle incomplete matches and forfeits.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi's over/under 2.5 maps market, your outcome depends solely on total maps played (3+ = Yes). On Polymarket, individual map winner markets and the match outcome market have different resolution criteria for incomplete matches and forfeits. Kalshi treats forfeits/walkovers as potentially not counting toward map totals in incomplete series, while Polymarket's match outcome market resolves 50-50 for forfeits/walkovers, but its map-specific markets and the O/U 2.5 market count forfeited maps if the series is completed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi's single market resolves YES if over 2.5 maps are played (i.e., 3 or more maps) in the match. It does not specify handling of forfeits or incomplete series, creating ambiguity on whether a series ending in forfeit/walkover after 1-2 maps counts as 'played' for resolution purposes.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 8 separate markets covering Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, match outcome, O/U 2.5 maps, and odd/even rounds/kills for each map. For the O/U 2.5 market specifically, Polymarket explicitly states 'Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed' and resolves 50-50 if the match begins but is not completed due to forfeit/disqualification. For match outcome, Polymarket resolves 50-50 for forfeits/walkovers/ties, but resolves to the winning team if the match begins and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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