TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Qual4 (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Qual4 (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

Volume:
$27,910

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 22, 2026

Closed: Apr 21, 7:55 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Qual4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,332
N/A
N/A
$8,865
Settled
No
kalshi

fnatic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,277
N/A
N/A
$3,571
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Qual4 (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

fnatic and Qual4 compete in a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike match during the Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. The event group encompasses 10 distinct prediction markets covering series outcome, individual map winners, map totals, and granular statistics (rounds and kills per map). All markets reference the same underlying match and resolve based on official HLTV.org data or credible consensus reporting if HLTV results are unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market resolves YES for ANY outcome (fnatic win OR Qual4 win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets have well-defined binary or conditional resolution logic tied to specific match outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction: both 'fnatic wins' and 'Qual4 wins' trigger YES resolution, leaving no NO outcome possible. Polymarket markets are resolvable; Kalshi is not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: All Polymarket markets use standard binary or conditional logic: Map 1/2/3 Winner resolves to the actual map winner or 50-50 on cancellation/incompletion; Games Total O/U 2.5 resolves Over (3+ maps) or Under (<3 maps); Map Handicap resolves based on map differential; Odd/Even markets resolve based on actual round/kill counts or 50-50 on non-play. Primary source is HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Quote: 'This market will resolve to fnatic if fnatic win Map 1 against Qual4. This market will resolve to Qual4 if Qual4 win Map 1 against fnatic.'
  • Kalshi: Kalshi market states: 'If fnatic wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Qual4 wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both possible outcomes (fnatic win or Qual4 win) map to YES, leaving no path to NO resolution. No cancellation, tie, or edge-case clause is provided. Quote: 'If fnatic wins the Conquest of Prague Online Stage 2026: Qual4 vs. fnatic CS2 match...then the market resolves to Yes. If Qual4 wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.