TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group A
Volume:
$26,412
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-1 match between fnatic and aimclub in the BC Game Masters Championship Group A, scheduled for March 24, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner, Map 1 round totals (odd/even), and Map 1 kill totals (odd/even), with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market scope is ambiguous and conflates match outcome with tournament result, while Polymarket markets are granular and explicit. Kalshi lacks edge-case definitions for cancellation, forfeit, and delay.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are safer for precise settlement because they define all edge cases explicitly and share a common source (HLTV.org). Kalshi market is binary and vague; treat it as a simple match-winner proxy only, and assume forfeit/walkover may not resolve as a win. Cross-platform arbitrage risk is low because Kalshi does not directly contradict Polymarket logic, but Kalshi's silence on edge cases creates execution risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets: (1) Match winner (fnatic vs aimclub) resolves 50-50 on cancellation, tie, delay >7 days, or walkover/forfeit before start. (2) Map 1 rounds odd/even resolves 50-50 if map not played, delayed >7 days, or series already decided. (3) Map 1 kills odd/even resolves 50-50 if no kills recorded, map not played, delayed >7 days, or series already decided. All source HLTV.org primary, credible consensus secondary within 2 hours post-event.
- Kalshi: Single binary market: resolves Yes if fnatic wins OR aimclub wins the BC Game Masters Championship 2026 match. No explicit edge-case handling for cancellation, forfeit, delay, or tie. Scope ambiguity: unclear if resolution depends on match result alone or tournament advancement. No stated resolution source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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