TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between FaZe and Aurora Gaming in the BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A, scheduled for March 18 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against FaZe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the scope of Map 2 resolution. Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins Map 2, creating a tautological outcome where the market always resolves YES. Polymarket correctly specifies binary outcomes (FaZe or Aurora Gaming) with conditional 50-50 resolution for incomplete or canceled maps.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's Map 2 market—it will always resolve YES regardless of outcome. Polymarket's Map 2 market is the only properly structured binary. For series winner and handicap markets, both platforms align on standard BO3 logic, so those are safe to trade across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's Map 2 market (items 1–2) uses defective logic that resolves YES if FaZe wins Map 2 OR if Aurora Gaming wins Map 2, making the outcome tautological and always YES. The market lacks a NO resolution path: 'If FaZe wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes. If Aurora Gaming wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket's Map 2 Winner market (item 2) correctly specifies binary outcomes—resolves to FaZe if FaZe wins, Aurora Gaming if Aurora Gaming wins, with 50-50 fallback for incomplete/canceled maps. 'This market will resolve to FaZe if FaZe win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to Aurora Gaming if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against FaZe.'
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