TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs HyperSpirit (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group C
Volume:
$22,876
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-1 match between ECSTATIC and HyperSpirit in the BC Game Masters Championship Group C, scheduled for March 24, 2026. Markets track the match winner, total kills parity in Map 1, and total rounds parity in Map 1, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market is logically incoherent (both outcomes resolve to Yes, conflates match outcome with tournament outcome). Polymarket markets are well-defined but operate on different scopes (match winner vs. Map 1 metrics). Source fragility exists across both platforms due to reliance on HLTV.org with fallback to consensus.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market should be flagged for clarification or cancellation. For Polymarket, monitor HLTV.org closely; if results are not published within 2 hours, consensus-based resolution introduces subjectivity risk. Polymarket's 7-day delay threshold and 50-50 resolution for forfeits/walkovers are standard; ensure match is actually played and completed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market states: 'If ECSTATIC wins the BC Game Masters Championship 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If HyperSpirit wins the BC Game Masters Championship 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction: both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. Additionally, the market conflates the specific ECSTATIC vs HyperSpirit match with the entire tournament outcome, making it unresolvable without clarification of whether resolution is on match outcome or championship outcome.
- Polymarket: Three separate, well-defined markets: (1) Match Winner resolves to ECSTATIC or HyperSpirit with 50-50 for cancellation/delay >7 days/forfeit/walkover; (2) Map 1 Total Kills resolves to Odd or Even with 50-50 for no kills/cancellation/delay >7 days/forfeit/no play; (3) Map 1 Total Rounds resolves to Odd or Even with 50-50 for cancellation/delay >7 days/forfeit/no play. All three cite HLTV.org as primary source with 2-hour fallback to consensus reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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