TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$230,557,910

24H TRANSACTIONS:

531,611,392

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,202,344,730

501,342

Markets across

13,602

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,822

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Counter-Strike: BIG vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Volume:
$38,386
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 Best-of-3 match between BIG and K27 in the Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner, map-specific winners, map handicaps, and total maps played, with resolution sourced from HLTV.org.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (BIG wins or K27 wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, Polymarket's Match Winner and Map Handicap markets apply inconsistent forfeit/walkover logic across market types.

Hero Tip:

Avoid trading on Kalshi's market until corrected. On Polymarket, understand that pre-match forfeits resolve all markets to 50-50, but mid-match forfeits are treated differently: Match Winner resolves to the winning team, while Map Handicap and Total Maps resolve to 50-50. Request clarification on whether a clinching map forfeit counts as match completion for Map Handicap resolution.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Market definition error: states 'If BIG wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If K27 wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. This is logically impossible and indicates the market cannot be resolved as written.
  • Polymarket: Three related markets with inconsistent forfeit treatment. Match Winner: pre-match forfeit/walkover = 50-50, mid-match forfeit with winner = resolves to winner. Map Handicap & Total Maps: pre-match forfeit = 50-50, mid-match forfeit = 50-50 (contradicts Match Winner logic). Key Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture...this market will resolve to 50-50' (Map Handicap) vs. 'this market will resolve to the team who wins' (Match Winner).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.