TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: BIG vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: BIG vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Volume:
$38,386

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 5:20 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BIG

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,455
N/A
N/A
$4,731
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$723
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

K27

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,066
N/A
N/A
$4,799
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 Best-of-3 match between BIG and K27 in the Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner, map-specific winners, map handicaps, and total maps played, with resolution sourced from HLTV.org.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (BIG wins or K27 wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, Polymarket's Match Winner and Map Handicap markets apply inconsistent forfeit/walkover logic across market types.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi's market until corrected. On Polymarket, understand that pre-match forfeits resolve all markets to 50-50, but mid-match forfeits are treated differently: Match Winner resolves to the winning team, while Map Handicap and Total Maps resolve to 50-50. Request clarification on whether a clinching map forfeit counts as match completion for Map Handicap resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market definition error: states 'If BIG wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If K27 wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. This is logically impossible and indicates the market cannot be resolved as written.
  • Polymarket: Three related markets with inconsistent forfeit treatment. Match Winner: pre-match forfeit/walkover = 50-50, mid-match forfeit with winner = resolves to winner. Map Handicap & Total Maps: pre-match forfeit = 50-50, mid-match forfeit = 50-50 (contradicts Match Winner logic). Key Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture...this market will resolve to 50-50' (Map Handicap) vs. 'this market will resolve to the team who wins' (Match Winner).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.