TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group A
Volume:
$133,977
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-1 match between BESTIA and Wildcard in the Roman Imperium Cup Group A, scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 kill parity, and Map 1 round parity, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines resolution on the single BO1 match outcome with explicit forfeit-to-50-50 rules and Map 1 statistics. Kalshi's market scope is broader (tournament victory) and lacks clarity on forfeit/walkover treatment and cancellation scenarios, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Before the match, confirm with Kalshi whether a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover of the BO1 match counts as a tournament "win" for settlement purposes. Polymarket traders should note that forfeits resolve to 50-50, not to the winning team. Both platforms rely on HLTV.org as primary source; if HLTV delays beyond 2 hours, credible reporting consensus becomes the fallback—ensure you track video evidence and official announcements from both teams.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Resolves on BO1 match winner (BESTIA or Wildcard) and Map 1 statistics (kills/rounds odd-even). Forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers before match start resolve to 50-50. Cancellations or delays beyond 7 days also resolve to 50-50. Key quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Resolves Yes if BESTIA or Wildcard wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026 match (originally scheduled Mar 28, 2026). Does not explicitly address forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or cancellation scenarios. Scope is tournament victory, not just match outcome. Key quote: 'If BESTIA wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: Wildcard vs. BESTIA CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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