TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
Volume:
$78,984
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between BC.Game Esports and Alliance in the Roman Imperium Cup Group D, scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET. Markets span match winner prediction and map-level statistics (odd/even kills and rounds on Map 1).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both BC.Game Esports win and Alliance win are stated to resolve to Yes, making simultaneous resolution impossible. Polymarket markets are well-defined and internally consistent but address different scopes (match winner vs. map statistics).Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The Polymarket match winner market (BC.Game Esports vs Alliance) is the only unambiguous binary outcome. Map statistics markets (kills/rounds parity) are secondary and require Map 1 to be played.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets with unified edge-case logic. Match winner resolves to team name; Map 1 kills and rounds each resolve to Odd or Even. All use HLTV as primary source (2-hour window), with 7-day delay threshold, forfeit/walkover = 50-50, and remake = use remade game only. Quote: 'If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Single market with contradictory resolution logic. States 'If BC.Game Esports wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Alliance wins... resolves to Yes,' creating logical impossibility. No edge-case handling, source specification, or tie/cancellation rules provided. Quote: 'If BC.Game Esports wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If Alliance wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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