TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between B8 and NRG in the BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A, initially scheduled for March 20 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win the match against NRG. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against B8. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves based on the tournament winner (B8 or NRG wins BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026), while Polymarket resolves based on specific match outcomes (Map 2 winner, series winner, map handicaps, and kill/round odd-even statistics for individual maps). These are incompatible settlement bases.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket positions in this group. Kalshi's tournament-winner market is independent of the match result; Polymarket's markets require the match to be played and specific map data to be recorded. If the match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days, Kalshi resolves YES (because either B8 or NRG will eventually win the tournament), while Polymarket resolves 50-50 (because the match never occurred). Betting YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket's match winner is not a hedge.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves YES if either B8 or NRG wins the entire BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 tournament, regardless of the specific match outcome between them. The market states 'If B8 wins the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If NRG wins the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a tournament-level settlement, not a match-level settlement.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 10 separate markets all tied to the specific B8 vs NRG match result (Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, Map 3 winner, series winner, map handicaps, and kill/round odd-even outcomes). Each market resolves based on match-level data from HLTV.org, with 50-50 fallback if the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or specific maps are not played. For example, 'This market will resolve to B8 if B8 win Map 2 against NRG' and 'If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.'
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