TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
Volume:
$37,130
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between Alliance and OG in the Roman Imperium Cup Group D, scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets track the match winner, and two statistical outcomes (odd/even total rounds and odd/even total kills on Map 1).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both 'Alliance wins' and 'OG wins' conditions resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket defines three separate, internally consistent markets with clear resolution paths.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the contradiction is clarified by the platform. The Polymarket markets (match winner, Map 1 rounds, Map 1 kills) are resolvable and should be preferred. Request Kalshi to confirm whether the market tracks match outcome or tournament outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets: (1) Match winner resolves to Alliance or OG based on head-to-head result; forfeits/walkovers resolve 50-50. (2) Map 1 odd/even rounds: resolves based on total combined rounds (regulation + overtime). (3) Map 1 odd/even kills: resolves based on total combined kills excluding team kills and self-inflicted deaths. All source HLTV.org with 2-hour credible reporting fallback. Key quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Single market with contradictory resolution logic: 'If Alliance wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: OG vs. Alliance CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If OG wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: OG vs. Alliance CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Both conditions cannot logically resolve to Yes simultaneously. Unclear whether market tracks match outcome or tournament outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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