TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between ALGO Esports and Bebop in the CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage, initially scheduled for March 27 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ALGO Esports" if ALGO Esports win the match against Bebop. This market will resolve to "Bebop" if Bebop win the match against ALGO Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves based on Map 1 outcome only (either team winning Map 1 triggers YES), while Polymarket resolves based on the full BO3 series winner. This creates a logical contradiction: the same match result can resolve YES on Kalshi but NO on Polymarket, or vice versa.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets will move together. On Kalshi, betting YES wins if either team takes Map 1—regardless of series outcome. On Polymarket, you must predict the full BO3 winner. If you hedge across both platforms, verify which team you expect to win Map 1 vs. the series before placing trades.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's single market resolves YES if either Bebop OR Algo wins Map 1 in the CCT Europe Series #19 match. The resolution rule states 'If Bebop wins map 1...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Algo wins map 1...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market always resolves YES as long as Map 1 is played and completed, making it a tautology that ignores series outcome entirely. Key quote: 'If Bebop wins map 1...then the market resolves to Yes. If Algo wins map 1...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard BO3 logic: Polymarket's primary match market resolves to the BO3 series winner (ALGO Esports or Bebop), not Map 1 alone. The market explicitly states 'This market will resolve to ALGO Esports if ALGO Esports win the match against Bebop' and 'This market will resolve to Bebop if Bebop win the match against ALGO Esports.' Polymarket also offers separate Map 1, Map 2, and Map 3 winner markets, plus map-specific odd/even and handicap markets, all of which depend on series progression and individual map outcomes. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to ALGO Esports if ALGO Esports win the match against Bebop.'
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