TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Tricked (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Volume:
$50,617
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between 9INE and Tricked in the Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for March 5, 2026. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), map count handicaps, and total games played, with resolution sourced from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Tricked wins OR 9INE wins) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically coherent with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi market as non-functional due to logical impossibility. Rely exclusively on Polymarket for settlement. All Polymarket markets use consistent HLTV.org sourcing and unified edge-case rules (7-day delay = 50-50, incomplete matches with forfeiture = 50-50 except for clinching forfeits, no play = 50-50).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market states: If Tricked wins the match, resolves to Yes. If 9INE wins the match, resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes produce identical resolution, violating basic binary market structure.
- Polymarket: Six distinct markets with mutually exclusive, logically sound outcomes: Match Winner (9INE vs Tricked), Map 1 Winner (9INE vs Tricked), Map 2 Winner (9INE vs Tricked), Map Handicap 9INE -1.5 (9INE vs Tricked), Map Handicap Tricked -1.5 (Tricked vs 9INE), Games Total O/U 2.5 (Over vs Under). All use HLTV.org as primary source with 2-hour credible consensus fallback. Cancellation, 7-day delay without play, or incomplete matches with forfeiture = 50-50 resolution. Clinching map forfeits count as completed matches.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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