A men's college basketball game between Cornell Big Red and Princeton Tigers scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Princeton. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline outcome, point spread variants, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Cornell victory and Princeton victory resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically sound and consistent.
Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi moneyline entirely. Trade Polymarket moneyline, spreads (-2.5, -3.5), and totals (154.5, 155.5, 156.5) which all use standard, unambiguous resolution logic. Monitor for postponement (market reopens when game is played) or cancellation without makeup (automatic 50-50 split).
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both 'If Princeton wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Cornell wins...resolves to Yes', creating a logical tautology where all outcomes map to the same resolution. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.
Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly resolves to 'Cornell Big Red' if Cornell wins or 'Princeton Tigers' if Princeton wins. Spread markets (-2.5, -3.5) resolve based on margin of victory thresholds. Over/Under markets (154.5, 155.5, 156.5) resolve based on combined points. All markets include consistent edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup = 50-50 split.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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