TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cornell Big Red vs. Penn Quakers
Volume:
$1,363,153
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Cornell Big Red and Penn Quakers scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET at Penn. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds (-1.5 and -2.5), and total points scored across multiple over/under lines (170.5, 171.5, 172.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Cornell win and Penn win outcomes are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's equivalent moneyline and all derivative markets (spreads, totals) are logically consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are all logically sound. Use Polymarket as your primary resolution reference. If Kalshi corrects the moneyline logic, verify the correction before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains unresolvable contradiction. Source states: 'If Cornell wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Penn wins...resolves to Yes'. This violates binary logic and makes the market impossible to settle correctly.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Cornell Big Red' if Cornell wins by any margin, 'Penn Quakers' if Penn wins by any margin. Spreads (-1.5 and -2.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Totals (170.5, 171.5, 172.5) resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold, Under otherwise. All include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) provisions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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