TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm (W)
Volume:
$842,545
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Connecticut Huskies and St. John's Red Storm scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both reference the same underlying game but differ significantly in their resolution logic and outcome definitions.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory: it states both UConn win and St. John's win resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No outcome. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic. These cannot both be correct interpretations of the same game.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity issue on Kalshi. Before trading, confirm with Kalshi whether the market should resolve Yes/No (UConn wins = Yes, St. John's wins = No) or if there is missing resolution text. Polymarket's structure is unambiguous and should be treated as the reference logic. Avoid arbitrage strategies until Kalshi clarifies.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-based resolution. Resolves to the name of the winning team (Connecticut Huskies or St. John's Red Storm). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: states both UConn win and St. John's win resolve to Yes. No valid No outcome is defined. This violates binary market logic and suggests incomplete or erroneous resolution criteria.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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