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Connecticut Huskies vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
kalshi
polymarket

Connecticut Huskies vs. Marquette Golden Eagles

Volume:
$3,294,207

Marquette

 - Kalshi

Marquette - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marquette

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$891,130
N/A
N/A
$595,120
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UConn

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,403,077
N/A
N/A
$1,562,241
Settled
No
polymarket

Connecticut Huskies vs. Marquette Golden Eagles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 143.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the University of Connecticut Huskies and Marquette Golden Eagles scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under total points, and point spread outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both UConn victory and Marquette victory are specified to resolve to Yes, violating mutual exclusivity. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket's moneyline, Over/Under, and Spread markets are logically sound and internally consistent.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the platform issues a clarification. The Polymarket moneyline, Over/Under (143.5), and Spread (-8.5 and -9.5) markets are all resolvable and consistent with standard NCAA basketball settlement rules. Use those as your primary reference. Confirm with Kalshi support whether the moneyline should resolve to Yes for the winner only, or if there is a different intended outcome structure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market contains mutual exclusivity failure. States 'If UConn wins...resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Marquette wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same outcome. Over/Under and Spread markets are not provided by Kalshi in source data.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Connecticut Huskies' if UConn wins, 'Marquette Golden Eagles' if Marquette wins - mutually exclusive and logically valid. Over/Under (144+ = Over, <144 = Under) and Spread markets (-8.5: UConn wins by 9+; -9.5: UConn wins by 10+) are all consistent. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.