TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
Volume:
$3,294,207
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the University of Connecticut Huskies and Marquette Golden Eagles scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under total points, and point spread outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both UConn victory and Marquette victory are specified to resolve to Yes, violating mutual exclusivity. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket's moneyline, Over/Under, and Spread markets are logically sound and internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the platform issues a clarification. The Polymarket moneyline, Over/Under (143.5), and Spread (-8.5 and -9.5) markets are all resolvable and consistent with standard NCAA basketball settlement rules. Use those as your primary reference. Confirm with Kalshi support whether the moneyline should resolve to Yes for the winner only, or if there is a different intended outcome structure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains mutual exclusivity failure. States 'If UConn wins...resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Marquette wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same outcome. Over/Under and Spread markets are not provided by Kalshi in source data.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Connecticut Huskies' if UConn wins, 'Marquette Golden Eagles' if Marquette wins - mutually exclusive and logically valid. Over/Under (144+ = Over, <144 = Under) and Spread markets (-8.5: UConn wins by 9+; -9.5: UConn wins by 10+) are all consistent. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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