TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC
Volume:
$551,666
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Columbus Crew will face Orlando City SC on April 12, 2026, in a Major League Soccer regular season match. The outcome will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three possible results: a Columbus Crew win, an Orlando City SC win, or a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution structures for the same match. Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (Columbus win, Draw, Orlando win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi offers three separate markets that each independently resolve YES based on their respective outcome, creating a logical contradiction where multiple Kalshi markets could resolve YES simultaneously for the same match.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi markets are interchangeable. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (they are mutually exclusive). On Kalshi, all three markets could theoretically resolve YES if the platform's structure allows multiple outcome markets to coexist. Verify Kalshi's actual market structure before trading — if these are three separate independent markets rather than a single three-way outcome market, the settlement logic is broken. If they are meant to be mutually exclusive like Polymarket, Kalshi's wording fails to express that constraint.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where the match outcome determines exactly one winner. The three markets (Columbus win, Draw, Orlando win) are logically dependent — only one can resolve YES. Resolution source is official MLS statistics within 2 hours post-match, with credible reporting as fallback. Cancellation with no makeup resolves the win markets to NO and the draw market to YES.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets with identical resolution conditions ('If [outcome] wins... then the market resolves to Yes') without explicitly stating mutual exclusivity or dependency. The wording suggests each market independently resolves YES if its condition is met, which would allow multiple markets to resolve YES for the same match — a logical impossibility in a single soccer game. No cancellation clause is provided, and no fallback source is specified, creating ambiguity on how resolution occurs if official data is delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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