This event group covers the Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC MLS match scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: Columbus win, Nashville win, and draw, plus a separate Kalshi market on both teams scoring. All markets reference the same fixture and resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The Polymarket draw market resolves to YES upon full game cancellation with no make-up, while Polymarket win markets and Kalshi resolve to NO under identical conditions. This creates a three-way logical inconsistency in the outcome space.
Hero Tip:
Monitor for any game postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no reschedule, expect the draw market to resolve YES while Columbus and Nashville win markets resolve NO. This is unusual but not necessarily a critical flaw if intentional by design. Hedge accordingly or seek clarification from Polymarket before March 14, 2026.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Columbus win (YES if Columbus wins, NO otherwise), Nashville win (YES if Nashville wins, NO otherwise), and draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no make-up: win markets resolve NO, but draw market resolves YES.
Kalshi: Both Teams Score market: YES if both Nashville and Columbus score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation logic not explicitly stated; assumed to follow standard NO resolution on full cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.